Milo wrote:Spengler is "dead" right.
Who was saying something about various racist pseudo-intellectuals writing specifically to flatter a niche market of gullible chumps? Anyway....
Take away the oil from the ME, as geology is inevitably doing, and you have very little left.
Well, other than the people living there.
In the KSA a tidal wave of old people is starting to crash into their highly corrupt and incompetent social service structure. The wave stretches for decades. But there are a lot fewer young people to make up for the old ones at the top.
I kind of wish the KSA would collapse, but they've been spending all of their drug money (pardon me, petrodollars) investing in real estate and investment banks all over the world (and buying Congressmen). Those pricks have a good shot of turning unto Zug with less skiing.
This is happening as oil extraction is becoming much more costly.
Higher overhead in oil extraction punishes oil
consumers even more than oil producers. It also contributes to inflation generally by driving up the cost and delivery of manufactured goods and foodstuffs. This will harm, for example, the weakened US consumer economy before it turns any Saudi royals out into the streets. Moreover, demographics don't matter to them since they import workers from other countries, pay them nothing, and gun them down with American-made weapons held by American-trained internal security forces when they rise up.
And their domestic energy demand is soaring, starving them for hard currency from exports.
This one is just precious.
The KSA props up the entire Sunni Islamic world, including the parts of it in non-Islamic countries. Without Saudi Arabian patronage, the entire Sunni Islamic world faces economic collapse.
Nonsensical claim. Primarily what Saudi money props up is Wahhabi mosques, which most people don't even like. The other thing you could be referring to is specific incidents of foreign aid during emergiencies, though as we've established the Saudis aren't going broke anytime soon.
The Shia have Iran's patronage, Iran is no Switzerland, but it's at least not a complete basket case, like pretty well every other ME country. But overall, it looks pretty hopeless for the Islamic world.
Further nonsense.
Oh yes, Turkey, Indonesia and Malaysia. Well, they have a shot at coming out without a complete breakdown. But none of them are model countries by a long shot; little margin for error, and many pitfalls. When things really start hitting the fan, they are as likely to retreat to savagery as rise to secularism.
Given how vague this claim is, and how completely false your other claims are, I think I'll let this one pass until you make it more specific. You seem to be parroting Spengler/Spencer's vague hatred of several Islamic countries they don't think they can lobby the US or Israel into attacking.
This can't be stopped; all we can do is save civilization by stepping back from it.
Who is "we?" You are not part of the civilized world.
Obama can't say he is doing this in public but I think that's what he's been doing with all his withdrawals:
He's
increasing the number of foreign entanglements the US is engaged in. So before you tell us what a US President is secretly planning, maybe get up to speed on what is actually happening first.
Making speeches to flatter the clowns that run these countries
Which "clowns" in which countries are you referring to specifically? Whom did Obama address and what did he say? This sounds like a generic slur to me, not based on any actual information.
while the important policy changes to keep us back from the riptide of Islamic collapse is damn smart.
Again, your false claims are contrary to all established facts. The US is steadily
increasing its involvement in the Middle East, and the failure of the US to regulate its own financial industry cause the greatest global economic catastrophe in recent memory.
Of course Spengie can't say that, even if he knows it.
Spengler says much and knows little. Though in his defense he made less glaring errors in his terrible essay than you did in this post.