I love you, too, man. No homo.Demon of Undoing wrote:YMix, there's too much history of cool between us for me to be going at you personally on this or anything else. Wasn't intended that way. May be hard to believe considering all the asshole I've been dishing out, but it's true just wanted to clear that up.
1) You most certainly can prevail against the US Army and a militarized police with what civilians can now legally own. For one thing, if an outright ban goes into effect, half of the people in those organizations ( at least) will at the very minimum not play ball. They can frog boil it over a generation or so( and this is what I see happening), but a Feinstein move causes the feces to hit the rotating oscillator overnight.My point was that firearms are not the ultimate recourse because you can't prevail against the US army, nor against the militarized police. Not if they come after you one by one, while you are defending your homes. Guerrilla war is another matter, but it depends on how far the government is willing to go. And the government has better toys.
What is left of those forces, turned against the populace, will degrade rapidly. They can make some resisted confiscations, but if it happens in a widespread fashion, the pointy things start moving very fast. This is why so much brouhaha exists about guns in America, why our foreign friends( and many domestic ones on the left as well) simply don't get the attachment. It's not because of man fetishes or crime or fear of a black planet; this issue is, has been, and will continue to be THE tripwire for armed resistance. Frankly, the invasion of privacy, due process, RICO, all the other destructions of rights have been irrelevant to this crowd ( foolishly, IMHO). The people under discussion are loyal, patriotic, overwhelmingly law abiding and entirely willing to let The Machine chew up anybody that isn't. They haven't cared when it happened to the least of these. Ignorant, selfish, self serving, I agree. But the reasoning has long been that, as long as it was all within tolerances, it didn't matter. With the Second Amendment, we can reclaim all the others. Like typical lazy Americans, they'll get around to it when they have no other choice. But they will not go to the guns until the masters tell the subjects that they can't have them any more. That is when the jig is up. This was decided long ago.
2)This is about guerilla warfare. Actually, about militia transforming into main force units. Getting a first, basic load of firearms to a guerilla force/ militia is one of the hardest points to complete in the start- up sequence of a revolution. The Second is designed to keep that step complete and ready to go at all times. Note that militia are only legitimate if they are tasked to a local or state commander; " well organized" at the time meant having a clear chain of command. Historically, militia elected their commanders, often upon gathering. If a ban occurs, all that happens fairly quickly.
3). Right now, the US Army is being fought to a standstill by people on their home turf using tools that can be bought at a Lowes or Home Depot- except for the individual arms. Considering the intangibles, and the fact that pitched battles would be the farthest thing from the mind of the resistors, I give it all a pretty good chance. In this case, winning would simply mean not losing. There would be no string of victories needed, just one unholy hell of a mess made for long enough to convince those that lacked the courage of their convictions that it just isn't worth it. It's worked before. It was called Prohibition.
While you certainly know the situation on the ground better than I do, there are still some points I'd like to make.
1) Regarding confiscation of arms: it doesn't have to be done everywhere at once. If it happens in New York, will the south rise up against the government or will they say "genuflect the New Yorkers, they deserve it"? Some regions, some people can certainly be played against each other. Or, at least, selective confiscation can be used to delay any response from the citizenry. Waco and Ruby Ridge caused some resentment, but no armed revolt.
2) This is one of the major differences between USA and Europe and it's what well-meaning, but misinformed people, such as monster gardener, fail to grasp when they think that more guns would've helped Eastern Europe stand up to the Soviets. We have little in the way of military tradition among the population, we don't have a fascination with weapons and firearms are of little use in the plains. Up in the mountains, where people need to defend themselves and their sheep from bears, wild boars and wolves, it's a different matter. But even there, few people own weapons and fewer still have any need of them. And, yes, we had our partisans in the mountains. Every Eastern European country must have had them. They fought the communists until around 1950, if I remember correctly. It didn't really help in any way.
3) The US Army is being fought at a standstill because it fights the wrong people the wrong way. While some people in the USA are itching to rise up against the hated Gobmint, the government is also on home ground. They've got the tanks, planes, helicopters and drones. They've got the money and the industrial capacity. The people have enthusiasm, weapons and a short attention span.