Mr. Perfect wrote:Alex, keep us apprised of polling if you wouldn't mind.
Latest polls place Macron around 60-61%, Le Pen at 39-40%.
This Wiki page, updated very frequently, includes all the latest polls. It is in French, but the link directs to the exact table listing those polls - and one doesn't need to understand the language to read the figures!
This evening, Le Pen was interviewed in length on the TV. She was very strong, very efficient in denouncing Macron's project and what he stands for.
No denying that the task is hard. Winning back 10-12% within two weeks would be a real feat. However...
it would not be unprecedented.
In 2005, when the treaty for EU constitution was proposed to referendum, initial polls had around
65% planning to vote Yes. Then... there was a campaign,
a lot of debates in the population as the exact
content of the treaty was read and analyzed. And in spite of a constant and nearly unanimous and often strident barrage of pro-Yes propaganda from political parties, the media, the unions, you name it... the French refused the treaty by
55%.
That is,
about 20% of the whole population had changed its mind from Yes to No.
Obviously, one success is no guarantee that you will succeed again the next time. Also, two weeks is really a short time. The window of opportunity is undisputably a narrow one.
But it is indeed open.
The great paradox is that Macron, now supported by 60%+ of French, is
the very concentrate of what a majority of French has come to reject - unbridled economic globalization, open borders, multi-culturalism instead of assimilation for immigrants, submission of France to unelected EU institutions, rule of the banks, continuation of the worst presidency in postwar history.
And yet he is the one that "the system", I mean essentially the banking / media / EU institutions complex, has chosen as its
last line of defense, as the emergency replacement for the two pro-globalization pro-EU parties of left and right that have
essentially collapsed last Sunday.
He is fragile. He is a bluff, he is "all bubble", like David P. Goldman very justly said. At the same time, two weeks is awfully short.
These will be two thrilling weeks.
Yep. Like they did in 2005...