Decline and Fall
Posted: 21 Jan 2026 23:36
FT - Always beware a declining superpower
Not being a professional pundit, I'm skeptical of pundits who have and/or are predicting the imminent decline and fall of either the USA or PR China.
Both have serious problems going forward.
In my view who will end up as the dominant superpower will depend on who screws up the least.
Even under normal leadership, a status-anxious US would be lashing out
Prediction is very difficult, especially if it's about the future.
~ Niels Bohr, After a Danish proverb
Not being a professional pundit, I'm skeptical of pundits who have and/or are predicting the imminent decline and fall of either the USA or PR China.
Both have serious problems going forward.
In my view who will end up as the dominant superpower will depend on who screws up the least.