Juggernaut Nihilism wrote:
Absolutely fuzzy.
First, what do you mean by continuous? Do you mean 'perpetual'? Because if so then I utterly disagree. The idea that humans will continue to gain more and more control over material environment forever into the future is not a hypothesis, but a religious doctrine. But doctrines always seem like self-evident truths to the faithful, so I don't expect you to agree with me.
Ok, I would say that the end of innovation is beyond the horizon then. The continuous innovation cycle is obvious to me because I can think of inventions based on current cutting edge tech. So I can see a long view on the innovation cycle because there are things that currently do not exist that I can imagine existing. And many innovations that are coming out today I have thought of in the past. So we still have a long way to go, not because I see that we will always be learning to split atoms or discovering higgs bosons, but because I see our current level of technology as being primitive as compared to
what we can possibly do given our current level of technology. 4D printers are not science fiction because they are simply an engineering problem.
Second, I think I understand what you mean by 'innovation', but I can't understand why you equate it with progress, except that it is part of your religion. Like people who believe that God is good, a priori and without qualification; when asked about God's goodness when he causes children to be raped villages to be smashed by earthquakes, any number of logical hoops must be leaped through in order to maintain the one unquestionable truth of God's goodness. So why do you equate technological innovation with progress? Men once went about the earth on horseback, but then the automobile was invented. Is this progress? Why? Because it's faster? Do we measure progress by man's manipulation of matter to extend his physical powers; so telescopes and eyeglasses extend our vision, cell phones and radio extend our hearing, powered machines multiply the power of our limbs, and this is progress? OK, but I can't agree with the idea that this process will go on forever until men are omnipotent. My feeling is that we are closer to the limits of this project than we are to the beginning.
Well there is the idea of social progress as in 'progressivism'. This is the idea that we can get to a point where no one is a slave and everyone is provided for by society. I do believe that this is technologically possible now. It is only held back by politics, which is an expression of the level of knowledge of the political participants. i.e. we kill people because we are too genuflecting stupid and uncreative to come up with a better solution. But the idea that human life is the most precious thing in the universe is certainly a cornerstone of my '
religious' belief.
As for technological progress. It is specifically about
e/t + e/s. E = Effort. T = Time and S = Space. So if we can cover more time cover more space and time with less effort the ability to do things is increased. So the less effort it takes to execute our essential needs the more time we have to devote to other things. In reality this means that the less effort it takes to accomplish an essential, the more essentials we can accomplish in the same amount of time. The fact that we still die demonstrates that we have not reached any sort of 'omega point' on this one. But most people die of things that we absolutely have the technology to cure. Getting shot in the leg in the Amazon means you're probably going to die. Getting shot in the leg in Brooklyn, you probably won't. So Progress is our ability to expand the comforts of Brooklyn to the Amazon. Some people would say we should bulldoze the Amazon and build a modern city, others would say we should create technologies that make field medicine more effective. We do both. We have also reached a point of transcendence where our technology has made certain political realities immanent for the first time in history ever. I do business with people in Bogota for instance. So I literally do business from New York with people in the Amazon. This is limited by the latency of Skype, not by my ability to board passage on a steamer to Panama City and get onto a caravan that will take me to Bogota.
Or does innovation represent progress because it extends man's control over his environment. On this, I've already expressed my doubts, but I'll repeat them in summary. First, I don't believe that our victories over nature are permanent. Evolution is nature's answer to our technologies, and on every front it is busy developing entropic counters to our defenses. Second, there are few, if any, technological innovations that represent unqualified advances in our control over the environment: we pulled metal, rubber, and fuel from the earth and fashioned them into machines that allowed us to traverse the environment more quickly, in this way gaining a measure of control over the environment. But what we gained on one end, we lost on the other: the proliferation of automobiles is causing ecological collapse that was beyond our ability to predict and is seemingly beyond our ability to control. Overall, I simply fail to see temporary and tenuous new levels of control over the environment as indications of progress; as a mutual friend observed, "Planting a lawn in Phoenix doesn't change the climate."
Yes, basically. Evolution is not nature's answer to our technology. Evolution is nature's answer to it's environment. Our technology is part of the environment, but no species are evolving to take down a Black Hawk. I do believe that a Coruscant style planetary mechanized city is possible though undesirable. A lot of my wife's work relates to cultural preservation of the Amazon for instance.
Or do you mean that innovation represents progress simply because it brings something new into the world? Here we are simply back to where we started. We have a word for things becoming different. That word is change. We have a word for things moving toward some destination, usually a better place. That word is progress. That change and disruption and novelty represent progress is not a fact, but a doctrine, and an historically recent one, for the most part. Whether or not the doctrine is valuable is not my point. I am simply trying to make clear that it is a doctrine, and not a self-evident historical truth. And a doctrine, not simply a model for looking at history, for it implies all sorts of moral values, good guys and bad guys, right and wrong beliefs, etc. I do not call it the cult of progress to be flippant.
This also. Progress is
directed change. The more control we have over the outcome of change, the more progress we have made. Small p progress, like, I am near the completion of the progress of writing this post can translate to large P Progress which relates to the survivability of the human species. It is possible that our technology will kill us all, but I don't think that's a predetermined outcome at this point.
I think that Progress is prescriptive more than descriptive. It is true because
I MAKE IT SO.
Men often oppose a thing merely because they have had no agency in planning it, or because it may have been planned by those whom they dislike.
-Alexander Hamilton